{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}/Users/menevisc/Dropbox/Sanctions Removal Revisions_FPA/data for R&R/Cilizoglu_FPA_log_appendix.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res}23 Sep 2022, 10:42:48
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. *** Table S1: Probit: Sanctions Removal 
. 
. * Table S1; M1: Full Model
. probit lift fraction_reported tradechange_div c.fraction_reported#c.tradechange_div tradedep multiissue multisender s2un jointigo cinct_s newsupport_s t t2 t3, robust cluster(targetstate)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-380.71559}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-362.50651}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-361.56723}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-361.56365}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-361.56365}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,015
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}13{txt}){col 67}= {res}     34.57
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0010
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-361.56365{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0503

{txt}{ralign 103:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:72} clusters in targetstate)}
{hline 38}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 39}{c |}{col 51}    Robust
{col 1}                                 lift{col 39}{c |}      Coef.{col 51}   Std. Err.{col 63}      z{col 71}   P>|z|{col 79}     [95% Con{col 92}f. Interval]
{hline 38}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}fraction_reported {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .6242244{col 51}{space 2} .2773251{col 62}{space 1}    2.25{col 71}{space 3}0.024{col 79}{space 4} .0806771{col 92}{space 3} 1.167772
{txt}{space 22}tradechange_div {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .1766226{col 51}{space 2} .0561315{col 62}{space 1}    3.15{col 71}{space 3}0.002{col 79}{space 4} .0666069{col 92}{space 3} .2866383
{txt}{space 37} {c |}
c.fraction_reported#c.tradechange_div {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.2098516{col 51}{space 2}  .067113{col 62}{space 1}   -3.13{col 71}{space 3}0.002{col 79}{space 4}-.3413906{col 92}{space 3}-.0783125
{txt}{space 37} {c |}
{space 29}tradedep {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} -.004117{col 51}{space 2} .3294299{col 62}{space 1}   -0.01{col 71}{space 3}0.990{col 79}{space 4}-.6497877{col 92}{space 3} .6415536
{txt}{space 27}multiissue {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.3178142{col 51}{space 2} .1819631{col 62}{space 1}   -1.75{col 71}{space 3}0.081{col 79}{space 4}-.6744554{col 92}{space 3}  .038827
{txt}{space 26}multisender {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0746549{col 51}{space 2} .1561116{col 62}{space 1}   -0.48{col 71}{space 3}0.632{col 79}{space 4} -.380628{col 92}{space 3} .2313182
{txt}{space 33}s2un {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0974362{col 51}{space 2} .1628632{col 62}{space 1}    0.60{col 71}{space 3}0.550{col 79}{space 4}-.2217697{col 92}{space 3} .4166422
{txt}{space 29}jointigo {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0120682{col 51}{space 2} .0078562{col 62}{space 1}   -1.54{col 71}{space 3}0.125{col 79}{space 4} -.027466{col 92}{space 3} .0033296
{txt}{space 30}cinct_s {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .3335754{col 51}{space 2} .3131731{col 62}{space 1}    1.07{col 71}{space 3}0.287{col 79}{space 4}-.2802327{col 92}{space 3} .9473835
{txt}{space 25}newsupport_s {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0200957{col 51}{space 2}  .167669{col 62}{space 1}   -0.12{col 71}{space 3}0.905{col 79}{space 4}-.3487209{col 92}{space 3} .3085295
{txt}{space 36}t {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .2187644{col 51}{space 2} .0648216{col 62}{space 1}    3.37{col 71}{space 3}0.001{col 79}{space 4} .0917164{col 92}{space 3} .3458123
{txt}{space 35}t2 {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0155305{col 51}{space 2} .0042844{col 62}{space 1}   -3.62{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4}-.0239277{col 92}{space 3}-.0071332
{txt}{space 35}t3 {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0002477{col 51}{space 2} .0000667{col 62}{space 1}    3.71{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4} .0001169{col 92}{space 3} .0003785
{txt}{space 32}_cons {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-1.564352{col 51}{space 2} .2987895{col 62}{space 1}   -5.24{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4}-2.149969{col 92}{space 3}-.9787357
{txt}{hline 38}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. * Table S1; M2: High c_s dropped
. probit lift fraction_reported tradechange_div c.fraction_reported#c.tradechange_div tradedep multiissue multisender s2un jointigo cinct_s newsupport_s t t2 t3 if cost_s==0, robust cluster(targetstate)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-357.34232}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -333.2909}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-331.67837}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-331.66885}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-331.66885}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       942
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}13{txt}){col 67}= {res}     51.08
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-331.66885{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0718

{txt}{ralign 103:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:72} clusters in targetstate)}
{hline 38}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 39}{c |}{col 51}    Robust
{col 1}                                 lift{col 39}{c |}      Coef.{col 51}   Std. Err.{col 63}      z{col 71}   P>|z|{col 79}     [95% Con{col 92}f. Interval]
{hline 38}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}fraction_reported {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}  1.02321{col 51}{space 2} .3020567{col 62}{space 1}    3.39{col 71}{space 3}0.001{col 79}{space 4} .4311902{col 92}{space 3} 1.615231
{txt}{space 22}tradechange_div {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .2620466{col 51}{space 2}  .058222{col 62}{space 1}    4.50{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4} .1479335{col 92}{space 3} .3761597
{txt}{space 37} {c |}
c.fraction_reported#c.tradechange_div {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.3120867{col 51}{space 2} .0689704{col 62}{space 1}   -4.52{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4}-.4472661{col 92}{space 3}-.1769072
{txt}{space 37} {c |}
{space 29}tradedep {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0196261{col 51}{space 2} .3685953{col 62}{space 1}    0.05{col 71}{space 3}0.958{col 79}{space 4}-.7028073{col 92}{space 3} .7420595
{txt}{space 27}multiissue {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.3580649{col 51}{space 2}  .191016{col 62}{space 1}   -1.87{col 71}{space 3}0.061{col 79}{space 4}-.7324493{col 92}{space 3} .0163195
{txt}{space 26}multisender {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0432319{col 51}{space 2} .1582491{col 62}{space 1}   -0.27{col 71}{space 3}0.785{col 79}{space 4}-.3533943{col 92}{space 3} .2669306
{txt}{space 33}s2un {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .3542723{col 51}{space 2} .1950896{col 62}{space 1}    1.82{col 71}{space 3}0.069{col 79}{space 4}-.0280963{col 92}{space 3}  .736641
{txt}{space 29}jointigo {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0193755{col 51}{space 2}  .008486{col 62}{space 1}   -2.28{col 71}{space 3}0.022{col 79}{space 4}-.0360077{col 92}{space 3}-.0027434
{txt}{space 30}cinct_s {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .5758844{col 51}{space 2} .3165238{col 62}{space 1}    1.82{col 71}{space 3}0.069{col 79}{space 4} -.044491{col 92}{space 3}  1.19626
{txt}{space 25}newsupport_s {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0738666{col 51}{space 2} .1824886{col 62}{space 1}   -0.40{col 71}{space 3}0.686{col 79}{space 4}-.4315377{col 92}{space 3} .2838044
{txt}{space 36}t {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .2793459{col 51}{space 2}  .068672{col 62}{space 1}    4.07{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4} .1447513{col 92}{space 3} .4139406
{txt}{space 35}t2 {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0189376{col 51}{space 2} .0043851{col 62}{space 1}   -4.32{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4}-.0275322{col 92}{space 3} -.010343
{txt}{space 35}t3 {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0002985{col 51}{space 2} .0000673{col 62}{space 1}    4.43{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4} .0001665{col 92}{space 3} .0004304
{txt}{space 32}_cons {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-1.650195{col 51}{space 2} .3275871{col 62}{space 1}   -5.04{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4}-2.292254{col 92}{space 3}-1.008136
{txt}{hline 38}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *** Figure S1: Histogram of Information - HRV Transparency Index
. hist fraction_reported
{txt}(bin={res}31{txt}, start={res}0{txt}, width={res}.03225806{txt})
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. *** Table S2: Probit: Sanctions Removal - Cases with No Recorded End Dates
. 
. probit lift_ongoing2 fraction_reported tradechange_div c.fraction_reported#c.tradechange_div tradedep multiissue multisender s2un jointigo newsupport_s cinct_s iyear_ongoing2 t2_liftongoing2 t3_liftongoing2 if cost_s==0, robust cluster(targetstate)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-341.55776}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -328.4795}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-328.20041}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-328.19995}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-328.19995}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       942
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}13{txt}){col 67}= {res}     45.40
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-328.19995{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0391

{txt}{ralign 103:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:72} clusters in targetstate)}
{hline 38}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 39}{c |}{col 51}    Robust
{col 1}                        lift_ongoing2{col 39}{c |}      Coef.{col 51}   Std. Err.{col 63}      z{col 71}   P>|z|{col 79}     [95% Con{col 92}f. Interval]
{hline 38}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}fraction_reported {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .8917439{col 51}{space 2} .2397849{col 62}{space 1}    3.72{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4} .4217742{col 92}{space 3} 1.361714
{txt}{space 22}tradechange_div {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .1923839{col 51}{space 2} .0612789{col 62}{space 1}    3.14{col 71}{space 3}0.002{col 79}{space 4} .0722795{col 92}{space 3} .3124883
{txt}{space 37} {c |}
c.fraction_reported#c.tradechange_div {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.2114464{col 51}{space 2} .0720047{col 62}{space 1}   -2.94{col 71}{space 3}0.003{col 79}{space 4}-.3525731{col 92}{space 3}-.0703198
{txt}{space 37} {c |}
{space 29}tradedep {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}   .02331{col 51}{space 2} .3505954{col 62}{space 1}    0.07{col 71}{space 3}0.947{col 79}{space 4}-.6638444{col 92}{space 3} .7104645
{txt}{space 27}multiissue {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.1823558{col 51}{space 2} .1680027{col 62}{space 1}   -1.09{col 71}{space 3}0.278{col 79}{space 4} -.511635{col 92}{space 3} .1469234
{txt}{space 26}multisender {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0194054{col 51}{space 2} .1442632{col 62}{space 1}    0.13{col 71}{space 3}0.893{col 79}{space 4}-.2633453{col 92}{space 3} .3021561
{txt}{space 33}s2un {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .3534909{col 51}{space 2} .1711716{col 62}{space 1}    2.07{col 71}{space 3}0.039{col 79}{space 4} .0180007{col 92}{space 3} .6889812
{txt}{space 29}jointigo {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0204594{col 51}{space 2} .0073671{col 62}{space 1}   -2.78{col 71}{space 3}0.005{col 79}{space 4}-.0348987{col 92}{space 3}-.0060202
{txt}{space 25}newsupport_s {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0964366{col 51}{space 2} .1491447{col 62}{space 1}    0.65{col 71}{space 3}0.518{col 79}{space 4}-.1958816{col 92}{space 3} .3887548
{txt}{space 30}cinct_s {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .5303521{col 51}{space 2} .2902795{col 62}{space 1}    1.83{col 71}{space 3}0.068{col 79}{space 4}-.0385854{col 92}{space 3}  1.09929
{txt}{space 23}iyear_ongoing2 {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0559386{col 51}{space 2} .0365307{col 62}{space 1}    1.53{col 71}{space 3}0.126{col 79}{space 4}-.0156602{col 92}{space 3} .1275374
{txt}{space 22}t2_liftongoing2 {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0045493{col 51}{space 2} .0027439{col 62}{space 1}   -1.66{col 71}{space 3}0.097{col 79}{space 4}-.0099273{col 92}{space 3} .0008287
{txt}{space 22}t3_liftongoing2 {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0000628{col 51}{space 2} .0000395{col 62}{space 1}    1.59{col 71}{space 3}0.112{col 79}{space 4}-.0000146{col 92}{space 3} .0001402
{txt}{space 32}_cons {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} -1.06827{col 51}{space 2} .2884868{col 62}{space 1}   -3.70{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4}-1.633694{col 92}{space 3}-.5028462
{txt}{hline 38}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *** Table S3: Sanctions Removal: Accounting for Short-Lived Episodes
. 
. probit lift3 fraction_reported tradechange_div c.fraction_reported#c.tradechange_div tradedep multiissue multisender s2un jointigo newsupport_s cinct_s iyear_3 t2_lift3 t3_lift3 if cost_s==0, robust cluster(targetstate)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-412.62065}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-393.52044}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-392.95568}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-392.95344}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-392.95344}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       970
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}13{txt}){col 67}= {res}     91.39
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-392.95344{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0477

{txt}{ralign 103:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:78} clusters in targetstate)}
{hline 38}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 39}{c |}{col 51}    Robust
{col 1}                                lift3{col 39}{c |}      Coef.{col 51}   Std. Err.{col 63}      z{col 71}   P>|z|{col 79}     [95% Con{col 92}f. Interval]
{hline 38}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}fraction_reported {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .7785827{col 51}{space 2}  .248844{col 62}{space 1}    3.13{col 71}{space 3}0.002{col 79}{space 4} .2908573{col 92}{space 3} 1.266308
{txt}{space 22}tradechange_div {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .2100835{col 51}{space 2} .0548394{col 62}{space 1}    3.83{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4} .1026001{col 92}{space 3} .3175668
{txt}{space 37} {c |}
c.fraction_reported#c.tradechange_div {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.2417037{col 51}{space 2} .0640751{col 62}{space 1}   -3.77{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4}-.3672885{col 92}{space 3}-.1161189
{txt}{space 37} {c |}
{space 29}tradedep {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0190576{col 51}{space 2} .2934825{col 62}{space 1}    0.06{col 71}{space 3}0.948{col 79}{space 4}-.5561575{col 92}{space 3} .5942727
{txt}{space 27}multiissue {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.1800486{col 51}{space 2} .1696213{col 62}{space 1}   -1.06{col 71}{space 3}0.288{col 79}{space 4}-.5125003{col 92}{space 3} .1524031
{txt}{space 26}multisender {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.1636009{col 51}{space 2} .1233518{col 62}{space 1}   -1.33{col 71}{space 3}0.185{col 79}{space 4}-.4053659{col 92}{space 3} .0781641
{txt}{space 33}s2un {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}  .302502{col 51}{space 2} .1504092{col 62}{space 1}    2.01{col 71}{space 3}0.044{col 79}{space 4} .0077053{col 92}{space 3} .5972987
{txt}{space 29}jointigo {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0205083{col 51}{space 2} .0064284{col 62}{space 1}   -3.19{col 71}{space 3}0.001{col 79}{space 4}-.0331077{col 92}{space 3}-.0079089
{txt}{space 25}newsupport_s {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}  .011885{col 51}{space 2} .1526022{col 62}{space 1}    0.08{col 71}{space 3}0.938{col 79}{space 4}-.2872098{col 92}{space 3} .3109797
{txt}{space 30}cinct_s {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .5307348{col 51}{space 2} .2671177{col 62}{space 1}    1.99{col 71}{space 3}0.047{col 79}{space 4} .0071938{col 92}{space 3} 1.054276
{txt}{space 30}iyear_3 {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0363465{col 51}{space 2} .0446255{col 62}{space 1}    0.81{col 71}{space 3}0.415{col 79}{space 4}-.0511179{col 92}{space 3} .1238109
{txt}{space 29}t2_lift3 {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} -.007891{col 51}{space 2} .0048403{col 62}{space 1}   -1.63{col 71}{space 3}0.103{col 79}{space 4}-.0173778{col 92}{space 3} .0015959
{txt}{space 29}t3_lift3 {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0002099{col 51}{space 2} .0001074{col 62}{space 1}    1.96{col 71}{space 3}0.051{col 79}{space 4}-4.89e-07{col 92}{space 3} .0004204
{txt}{space 32}_cons {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.6243614{col 51}{space 2} .2750878{col 62}{space 1}   -2.27{col 71}{space 3}0.023{col 79}{space 4}-1.163524{col 92}{space 3}-.0851993
{txt}{hline 38}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *** Table S4: Rare Events Logistic Regression: Sanctions Removal
. 
. gen inter=fraction_reported*tradechange_div
{txt}(581 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. relogit lift fraction_reported tradechange_div inter tradedep multiissue multisender s2un jointigo newsupport_s cinct_s t t2 t3 if cost_s==0, cluster(targetstate)
{txt}(806 missing values generated)


Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}      942

{txt}{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}             lift{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
fraction_reported {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.904138{col 31}{space 2} .6190957{col 42}{space 1}    3.08{col 51}{space 3}0.002{col 59}{space 4} .6907323{col 72}{space 3} 3.117543
{txt}{space 2}tradechange_div {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .4940941{col 31}{space 2} .1109663{col 42}{space 1}    4.45{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4} .2766042{col 72}{space 3}  .711584
{txt}{space 12}inter {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.5859464{col 31}{space 2} .1323897{col 42}{space 1}   -4.43{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}-.8454254{col 72}{space 3}-.3264673
{txt}{space 9}tradedep {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1159337{col 31}{space 2} .7081646{col 42}{space 1}    0.16{col 51}{space 3}0.870{col 59}{space 4}-1.272043{col 72}{space 3} 1.503911
{txt}{space 7}multiissue {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} -.726129{col 31}{space 2}  .357184{col 42}{space 1}   -2.03{col 51}{space 3}0.042{col 59}{space 4}-1.426197{col 72}{space 3}-.0260612
{txt}{space 6}multisender {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0652988{col 31}{space 2} .2996852{col 42}{space 1}   -0.22{col 51}{space 3}0.828{col 59}{space 4} -.652671{col 72}{space 3} .5220735
{txt}{space 13}s2un {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .6608962{col 31}{space 2}   .34832{col 42}{space 1}    1.90{col 51}{space 3}0.058{col 59}{space 4}-.0217985{col 72}{space 3} 1.343591
{txt}{space 9}jointigo {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0381925{col 31}{space 2} .0159693{col 42}{space 1}   -2.39{col 51}{space 3}0.017{col 59}{space 4}-.0694918{col 72}{space 3}-.0068932
{txt}{space 5}newsupport_s {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.2465829{col 31}{space 2} .3611062{col 42}{space 1}   -0.68{col 51}{space 3}0.495{col 59}{space 4} -.954338{col 72}{space 3} .4611722
{txt}{space 10}cinct_s {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.236993{col 31}{space 2}  .551399{col 42}{space 1}    2.24{col 51}{space 3}0.025{col 59}{space 4} .1562709{col 72}{space 3} 2.317715
{txt}{space 16}t {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .5587818{col 31}{space 2} .1495119{col 42}{space 1}    3.74{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4} .2657438{col 72}{space 3} .8518199
{txt}{space 15}t2 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} -.038927{col 31}{space 2} .0106402{col 42}{space 1}   -3.66{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}-.0597814{col 72}{space 3}-.0180726
{txt}{space 15}t3 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0006223{col 31}{space 2} .0001641{col 42}{space 1}    3.79{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4} .0003007{col 72}{space 3} .0009438
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-2.825688{col 31}{space 2} .6111188{col 42}{space 1}   -4.62{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}-4.023459{col 72}{space 3}-1.627917
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *** Table S5: Probit: Sanctions Removal - with and without Clustering
. 
. *Model 1 - with clustered S.E.
. probit lift fraction_reported tradechange_div c.fraction_reported#c.tradechange_div tradedep multiissue multisender s2un jointigo cinct_s newsupport_s t t2 t3, robust cluster(targetstate)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-380.71559}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-362.50651}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-361.56723}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-361.56365}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-361.56365}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,015
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}13{txt}){col 67}= {res}     34.57
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0010
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-361.56365{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0503

{txt}{ralign 103:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:72} clusters in targetstate)}
{hline 38}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 39}{c |}{col 51}    Robust
{col 1}                                 lift{col 39}{c |}      Coef.{col 51}   Std. Err.{col 63}      z{col 71}   P>|z|{col 79}     [95% Con{col 92}f. Interval]
{hline 38}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}fraction_reported {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .6242244{col 51}{space 2} .2773251{col 62}{space 1}    2.25{col 71}{space 3}0.024{col 79}{space 4} .0806771{col 92}{space 3} 1.167772
{txt}{space 22}tradechange_div {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .1766226{col 51}{space 2} .0561315{col 62}{space 1}    3.15{col 71}{space 3}0.002{col 79}{space 4} .0666069{col 92}{space 3} .2866383
{txt}{space 37} {c |}
c.fraction_reported#c.tradechange_div {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.2098516{col 51}{space 2}  .067113{col 62}{space 1}   -3.13{col 71}{space 3}0.002{col 79}{space 4}-.3413906{col 92}{space 3}-.0783125
{txt}{space 37} {c |}
{space 29}tradedep {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} -.004117{col 51}{space 2} .3294299{col 62}{space 1}   -0.01{col 71}{space 3}0.990{col 79}{space 4}-.6497877{col 92}{space 3} .6415536
{txt}{space 27}multiissue {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.3178142{col 51}{space 2} .1819631{col 62}{space 1}   -1.75{col 71}{space 3}0.081{col 79}{space 4}-.6744554{col 92}{space 3}  .038827
{txt}{space 26}multisender {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0746549{col 51}{space 2} .1561116{col 62}{space 1}   -0.48{col 71}{space 3}0.632{col 79}{space 4} -.380628{col 92}{space 3} .2313182
{txt}{space 33}s2un {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0974362{col 51}{space 2} .1628632{col 62}{space 1}    0.60{col 71}{space 3}0.550{col 79}{space 4}-.2217697{col 92}{space 3} .4166422
{txt}{space 29}jointigo {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0120682{col 51}{space 2} .0078562{col 62}{space 1}   -1.54{col 71}{space 3}0.125{col 79}{space 4} -.027466{col 92}{space 3} .0033296
{txt}{space 30}cinct_s {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .3335754{col 51}{space 2} .3131731{col 62}{space 1}    1.07{col 71}{space 3}0.287{col 79}{space 4}-.2802327{col 92}{space 3} .9473835
{txt}{space 25}newsupport_s {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0200957{col 51}{space 2}  .167669{col 62}{space 1}   -0.12{col 71}{space 3}0.905{col 79}{space 4}-.3487209{col 92}{space 3} .3085295
{txt}{space 36}t {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .2187644{col 51}{space 2} .0648216{col 62}{space 1}    3.37{col 71}{space 3}0.001{col 79}{space 4} .0917164{col 92}{space 3} .3458123
{txt}{space 35}t2 {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0155305{col 51}{space 2} .0042844{col 62}{space 1}   -3.62{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4}-.0239277{col 92}{space 3}-.0071332
{txt}{space 35}t3 {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0002477{col 51}{space 2} .0000667{col 62}{space 1}    3.71{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4} .0001169{col 92}{space 3} .0003785
{txt}{space 32}_cons {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-1.564352{col 51}{space 2} .2987895{col 62}{space 1}   -5.24{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4}-2.149969{col 92}{space 3}-.9787357
{txt}{hline 38}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *Model 2 - without clustered S.E. 
. probit lift fraction_reported tradechange_div c.fraction_reported#c.tradechange_div tradedep multiissue multisender s2un jointigo cinct_s newsupport_s t t2 t3

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-380.71559}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-362.50651}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-361.56723}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-361.56365}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-361.56365}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,015
{txt}{col 49}LR chi2({res}13{txt}){col 67}= {res}     38.30
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0003
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-361.56365{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0503

{txt}{hline 38}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                                 lift{col 39}{c |}      Coef.{col 51}   Std. Err.{col 63}      z{col 71}   P>|z|{col 79}     [95% Con{col 92}f. Interval]
{hline 38}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}fraction_reported {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .6242244{col 51}{space 2} .2655029{col 62}{space 1}    2.35{col 71}{space 3}0.019{col 79}{space 4} .1038483{col 92}{space 3}   1.1446
{txt}{space 22}tradechange_div {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .1766226{col 51}{space 2} .0845911{col 62}{space 1}    2.09{col 71}{space 3}0.037{col 79}{space 4} .0108271{col 92}{space 3} .3424181
{txt}{space 37} {c |}
c.fraction_reported#c.tradechange_div {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.2098516{col 51}{space 2}  .097493{col 62}{space 1}   -2.15{col 71}{space 3}0.031{col 79}{space 4}-.4009344{col 92}{space 3}-.0187687
{txt}{space 37} {c |}
{space 29}tradedep {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} -.004117{col 51}{space 2} .2642621{col 62}{space 1}   -0.02{col 71}{space 3}0.988{col 79}{space 4}-.5220611{col 92}{space 3} .5138271
{txt}{space 27}multiissue {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.3178142{col 51}{space 2} .1510561{col 62}{space 1}   -2.10{col 71}{space 3}0.035{col 79}{space 4}-.6138787{col 92}{space 3}-.0217498
{txt}{space 26}multisender {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0746549{col 51}{space 2} .1448212{col 62}{space 1}   -0.52{col 71}{space 3}0.606{col 79}{space 4}-.3584993{col 92}{space 3} .2091895
{txt}{space 33}s2un {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0974362{col 51}{space 2} .1242518{col 62}{space 1}    0.78{col 71}{space 3}0.433{col 79}{space 4}-.1460928{col 92}{space 3} .3409653
{txt}{space 29}jointigo {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0120682{col 51}{space 2} .0065999{col 62}{space 1}   -1.83{col 71}{space 3}0.067{col 79}{space 4}-.0250038{col 92}{space 3} .0008674
{txt}{space 30}cinct_s {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .3335754{col 51}{space 2} .4407877{col 62}{space 1}    0.76{col 71}{space 3}0.449{col 79}{space 4}-.5303526{col 92}{space 3} 1.197503
{txt}{space 25}newsupport_s {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0200957{col 51}{space 2} .1208068{col 62}{space 1}   -0.17{col 71}{space 3}0.868{col 79}{space 4}-.2568726{col 92}{space 3} .2166812
{txt}{space 36}t {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .2187644{col 51}{space 2} .0522156{col 62}{space 1}    4.19{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4} .1164237{col 92}{space 3}  .321105
{txt}{space 35}t2 {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0155305{col 51}{space 2} .0036722{col 62}{space 1}   -4.23{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4}-.0227279{col 92}{space 3}-.0083331
{txt}{space 35}t3 {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0002477{col 51}{space 2}  .000062{col 62}{space 1}    3.99{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4} .0001261{col 92}{space 3} .0003693
{txt}{space 32}_cons {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-1.564352{col 51}{space 2} .3219475{col 62}{space 1}   -4.86{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4}-2.195358{col 92}{space 3}-.9333468
{txt}{hline 38}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *** Table S6: Sanctions Removal: Accounting for "Final Outcome"
. probit lift fraction_reported tradechange_div c.fraction_reported#c.tradechange_div tradedep multiissue multisender s2un jointigo cinct_s newsupport_s t t2 t3 if finaloutcome!=8 & cost_s==0, robust cluster(targetstate)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-279.22626}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-262.73778}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-261.70462}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-261.70043}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-261.70043}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       766
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}13{txt}){col 67}= {res}     30.36
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0042
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-261.70043{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0628

{txt}{ralign 103:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:55} clusters in targetstate)}
{hline 38}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 39}{c |}{col 51}    Robust
{col 1}                                 lift{col 39}{c |}      Coef.{col 51}   Std. Err.{col 63}      z{col 71}   P>|z|{col 79}     [95% Con{col 92}f. Interval]
{hline 38}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}fraction_reported {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} 1.017193{col 51}{space 2}  .336369{col 62}{space 1}    3.02{col 71}{space 3}0.002{col 79}{space 4} .3579218{col 92}{space 3} 1.676464
{txt}{space 22}tradechange_div {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .1868406{col 51}{space 2} .0792991{col 62}{space 1}    2.36{col 71}{space 3}0.018{col 79}{space 4} .0314173{col 92}{space 3} .3422639
{txt}{space 37} {c |}
c.fraction_reported#c.tradechange_div {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.2198381{col 51}{space 2} .0855252{col 62}{space 1}   -2.57{col 71}{space 3}0.010{col 79}{space 4}-.3874645{col 92}{space 3}-.0522118
{txt}{space 37} {c |}
{space 29}tradedep {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0122821{col 51}{space 2} .3349818{col 62}{space 1}    0.04{col 71}{space 3}0.971{col 79}{space 4}-.6442701{col 92}{space 3} .6688343
{txt}{space 27}multiissue {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.2631849{col 51}{space 2} .1997105{col 62}{space 1}   -1.32{col 71}{space 3}0.188{col 79}{space 4}-.6546102{col 92}{space 3} .1282404
{txt}{space 26}multisender {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0261554{col 51}{space 2} .1712141{col 62}{space 1}   -0.15{col 71}{space 3}0.879{col 79}{space 4}-.3617289{col 92}{space 3} .3094181
{txt}{space 33}s2un {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .3468275{col 51}{space 2} .2427149{col 62}{space 1}    1.43{col 71}{space 3}0.153{col 79}{space 4} -.128885{col 92}{space 3} .8225399
{txt}{space 29}jointigo {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0196696{col 51}{space 2} .0091107{col 62}{space 1}   -2.16{col 71}{space 3}0.031{col 79}{space 4}-.0375263{col 92}{space 3} -.001813
{txt}{space 30}cinct_s {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .3076914{col 51}{space 2} .3222632{col 62}{space 1}    0.95{col 71}{space 3}0.340{col 79}{space 4}-.3239328{col 92}{space 3} .9393157
{txt}{space 25}newsupport_s {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0193967{col 51}{space 2} .1905324{col 62}{space 1}   -0.10{col 71}{space 3}0.919{col 79}{space 4}-.3928333{col 92}{space 3} .3540399
{txt}{space 36}t {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .2253338{col 51}{space 2} .0714477{col 62}{space 1}    3.15{col 71}{space 3}0.002{col 79}{space 4}  .085299{col 92}{space 3} .3653687
{txt}{space 35}t2 {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0157644{col 51}{space 2} .0045413{col 62}{space 1}   -3.47{col 71}{space 3}0.001{col 79}{space 4}-.0246651{col 92}{space 3}-.0068637
{txt}{space 35}t3 {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0002523{col 51}{space 2} .0000696{col 62}{space 1}    3.63{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4} .0001159{col 92}{space 3} .0003887
{txt}{space 32}_cons {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-1.540397{col 51}{space 2}  .335476{col 62}{space 1}   -4.59{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4}-2.197918{col 92}{space 3}-.8828759
{txt}{hline 38}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *** Table S7: Sanctions Removal: Accounting for Global Trade
.  probit lift fraction_reported tradechange_worldmean_div c.fraction_reported#c.tradechange_worldmean_div tradedep multiissue multisender s2un jointigo cinct_s newsupport_s t t2 t3 if cost_s==0, robust cluster(targetstate)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-357.34232}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-332.23141}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-330.25969}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-330.24516}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-330.24515}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       942
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}13{txt}){col 67}= {res}     67.21
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-330.24515{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0758

{txt}{ralign 113:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:72} clusters in targetstate)}
{hline 48}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 49}{c |}{col 61}    Robust
{col 1}                                           lift{col 49}{c |}      Coef.{col 61}   Std. Err.{col 73}      z{col 81}   P>|z|{col 89}     [95% Con{col 102}f. Interval]
{hline 48}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 30}fraction_reported {c |}{col 49}{res}{space 2} .6107579{col 61}{space 2} .2770666{col 72}{space 1}    2.20{col 81}{space 3}0.027{col 89}{space 4} .0677173{col 102}{space 3} 1.153798
{txt}{space 22}tradechange_worldmean_div {c |}{col 49}{res}{space 2} 3.032178{col 61}{space 2} .6673331{col 72}{space 1}    4.54{col 81}{space 3}0.000{col 89}{space 4} 1.724229{col 102}{space 3} 4.340127
{txt}{space 47} {c |}
c.fraction_reported#c.tradechange_worldmean_div {c |}{col 49}{res}{space 2}-3.615906{col 61}{space 2} .7602375{col 72}{space 1}   -4.76{col 81}{space 3}0.000{col 89}{space 4}-5.105944{col 102}{space 3}-2.125868
{txt}{space 47} {c |}
{space 39}tradedep {c |}{col 49}{res}{space 2} .0840146{col 61}{space 2} .3677467{col 72}{space 1}    0.23{col 81}{space 3}0.819{col 89}{space 4}-.6367557{col 102}{space 3} .8047849
{txt}{space 37}multiissue {c |}{col 49}{res}{space 2}-.3737334{col 61}{space 2} .1861574{col 72}{space 1}   -2.01{col 81}{space 3}0.045{col 89}{space 4}-.7385951{col 102}{space 3}-.0088717
{txt}{space 36}multisender {c |}{col 49}{res}{space 2} -.039209{col 61}{space 2} .1544314{col 72}{space 1}   -0.25{col 81}{space 3}0.800{col 89}{space 4} -.341889{col 102}{space 3}  .263471
{txt}{space 43}s2un {c |}{col 49}{res}{space 2} .3469117{col 61}{space 2} .1994581{col 72}{space 1}    1.74{col 81}{space 3}0.082{col 89}{space 4}-.0440189{col 102}{space 3} .7378423
{txt}{space 39}jointigo {c |}{col 49}{res}{space 2}  -.01946{col 61}{space 2} .0081753{col 72}{space 1}   -2.38{col 81}{space 3}0.017{col 89}{space 4}-.0354833{col 102}{space 3}-.0034367
{txt}{space 40}cinct_s {c |}{col 49}{res}{space 2} .6577898{col 61}{space 2} .3039151{col 72}{space 1}    2.16{col 81}{space 3}0.030{col 89}{space 4} .0621271{col 102}{space 3} 1.253452
{txt}{space 35}newsupport_s {c |}{col 49}{res}{space 2}-.0897824{col 61}{space 2} .1777468{col 72}{space 1}   -0.51{col 81}{space 3}0.613{col 89}{space 4}-.4381597{col 102}{space 3} .2585948
{txt}{space 46}t {c |}{col 49}{res}{space 2}  .303041{col 61}{space 2} .0625019{col 72}{space 1}    4.85{col 81}{space 3}0.000{col 89}{space 4} .1805395{col 102}{space 3} .4255425
{txt}{space 45}t2 {c |}{col 49}{res}{space 2}  -.02143{col 61}{space 2} .0040986{col 72}{space 1}   -5.23{col 81}{space 3}0.000{col 89}{space 4} -.029463{col 102}{space 3} -.013397
{txt}{space 45}t3 {c |}{col 49}{res}{space 2}  .000364{col 61}{space 2}  .000067{col 72}{space 1}    5.43{col 81}{space 3}0.000{col 89}{space 4} .0002326{col 102}{space 3} .0004954
{txt}{space 42}_cons {c |}{col 49}{res}{space 2}-1.376977{col 61}{space 2}  .310123{col 72}{space 1}   -4.44{col 81}{space 3}0.000{col 89}{space 4}-1.984807{col 102}{space 3} -.769147
{txt}{hline 48}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *** Table S8: Sanctions Removal: Examining Outliers
. *mean+2ds=24 (for the "Change in T's Trade Volume" variable. 
. 
. probit lift fraction_reported tradechange_div c.fraction_reported#c.tradechange_div tradedep multiissue multisender s2un jointigo newsupport_s cinct_s t t2 t3 if cost_s==0 & tradechange_div<24, robust cluster(targetstate)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-342.81037}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-320.72313}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -319.3031}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-319.29507}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-319.29506}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       906
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}13{txt}){col 67}= {res}     39.31
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0002
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-319.29506{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0686

{txt}{ralign 103:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:72} clusters in targetstate)}
{hline 38}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 39}{c |}{col 51}    Robust
{col 1}                                 lift{col 39}{c |}      Coef.{col 51}   Std. Err.{col 63}      z{col 71}   P>|z|{col 79}     [95% Con{col 92}f. Interval]
{hline 38}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}fraction_reported {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .9939476{col 51}{space 2} .2873919{col 62}{space 1}    3.46{col 71}{space 3}0.001{col 79}{space 4} .4306698{col 92}{space 3} 1.557225
{txt}{space 22}tradechange_div {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}  .249007{col 51}{space 2} .1062541{col 62}{space 1}    2.34{col 71}{space 3}0.019{col 79}{space 4} .0407528{col 92}{space 3} .4572611
{txt}{space 37} {c |}
c.fraction_reported#c.tradechange_div {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.3029313{col 51}{space 2} .1216043{col 62}{space 1}   -2.49{col 71}{space 3}0.013{col 79}{space 4}-.5412713{col 92}{space 3}-.0645914
{txt}{space 37} {c |}
{space 29}tradedep {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0325303{col 51}{space 2} .3896754{col 62}{space 1}    0.08{col 71}{space 3}0.933{col 79}{space 4}-.7312195{col 92}{space 3} .7962801
{txt}{space 27}multiissue {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.3360302{col 51}{space 2} .1900567{col 62}{space 1}   -1.77{col 71}{space 3}0.077{col 79}{space 4}-.7085345{col 92}{space 3} .0364742
{txt}{space 26}multisender {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0557415{col 51}{space 2} .1556035{col 62}{space 1}   -0.36{col 71}{space 3}0.720{col 79}{space 4}-.3607188{col 92}{space 3} .2492357
{txt}{space 33}s2un {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .3341097{col 51}{space 2} .1912074{col 62}{space 1}    1.75{col 71}{space 3}0.081{col 79}{space 4}  -.04065{col 92}{space 3} .7088694
{txt}{space 29}jointigo {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0178665{col 51}{space 2} .0078706{col 62}{space 1}   -2.27{col 71}{space 3}0.023{col 79}{space 4}-.0332926{col 92}{space 3}-.0024404
{txt}{space 25}newsupport_s {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0205185{col 51}{space 2} .1847892{col 62}{space 1}   -0.11{col 71}{space 3}0.912{col 79}{space 4}-.3826987{col 92}{space 3} .3416617
{txt}{space 30}cinct_s {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .5280075{col 51}{space 2} .3578589{col 62}{space 1}    1.48{col 71}{space 3}0.140{col 79}{space 4}-.1733831{col 92}{space 3} 1.229398
{txt}{space 36}t {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .2706228{col 51}{space 2} .0685687{col 62}{space 1}    3.95{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4} .1362305{col 92}{space 3}  .405015
{txt}{space 35}t2 {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0185244{col 51}{space 2} .0043898{col 62}{space 1}   -4.22{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4}-.0271284{col 92}{space 3}-.0099205
{txt}{space 35}t3 {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0002929{col 51}{space 2} .0000676{col 62}{space 1}    4.33{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4} .0001604{col 92}{space 3} .0004255
{txt}{space 32}_cons {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-1.676297{col 51}{space 2} .3265457{col 62}{space 1}   -5.13{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4}-2.316314{col 92}{space 3}-1.036279
{txt}{hline 38}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *** Figure S2: Leverage vs. Residual Squared Plot
. regress lift fraction_reported tradechange_div c.fraction_reported#c.tradechange_div tradedep multiissue multisender s2un jointigo newsupport_s cinct_s t t2 t3 if cost_s==0

{txt}      Source {c |}       SS           df       MS      Number of obs   ={res}       942
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 34}   F(13, 928)      = {res}     3.23
{txt}       Model {c |} {res} 4.50269006        13  .346360773   {txt}Prob > F        ={res}    0.0001
{txt}    Residual {c |} {res} 99.4644012       928  .107181467   {txt}R-squared       ={res}    0.0433
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 34}   Adj R-squared   ={res}    0.0299
{txt}       Total {c |} {res} 103.967091       941  .110485751   {txt}Root MSE        =   {res} .32739

{txt}{hline 38}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                                 lift{col 39}{c |}      Coef.{col 51}   Std. Err.{col 63}      t{col 71}   P>|t|{col 79}     [95% Con{col 92}f. Interval]
{hline 38}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}fraction_reported {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .1576794{col 51}{space 2}  .051286{col 62}{space 1}    3.07{col 71}{space 3}0.002{col 79}{space 4} .0570293{col 92}{space 3} .2583294
{txt}{space 22}tradechange_div {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0433662{col 51}{space 2} .0169072{col 62}{space 1}    2.56{col 71}{space 3}0.010{col 79}{space 4} .0101855{col 92}{space 3} .0765469
{txt}{space 37} {c |}
c.fraction_reported#c.tradechange_div {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0512115{col 51}{space 2} .0189731{col 62}{space 1}   -2.70{col 71}{space 3}0.007{col 79}{space 4}-.0884466{col 92}{space 3}-.0139765
{txt}{space 37} {c |}
{space 29}tradedep {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0280926{col 51}{space 2}  .051383{col 62}{space 1}    0.55{col 71}{space 3}0.585{col 79}{space 4}-.0727478{col 92}{space 3}  .128933
{txt}{space 27}multiissue {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} -.060802{col 51}{space 2}  .031615{col 62}{space 1}   -1.92{col 71}{space 3}0.055{col 79}{space 4}-.1228471{col 92}{space 3} .0012432
{txt}{space 26}multisender {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0046137{col 51}{space 2} .0301889{col 62}{space 1}    0.15{col 71}{space 3}0.879{col 79}{space 4}-.0546327{col 92}{space 3} .0638601
{txt}{space 33}s2un {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0533165{col 51}{space 2} .0300778{col 62}{space 1}    1.77{col 71}{space 3}0.077{col 79}{space 4}-.0057118{col 92}{space 3} .1123449
{txt}{space 29}jointigo {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0032669{col 51}{space 2} .0013533{col 62}{space 1}   -2.41{col 71}{space 3}0.016{col 79}{space 4}-.0059227{col 92}{space 3}-.0006111
{txt}{space 25}newsupport_s {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0147029{col 51}{space 2} .0248037{col 62}{space 1}   -0.59{col 71}{space 3}0.553{col 79}{space 4}-.0633808{col 92}{space 3}  .033975
{txt}{space 30}cinct_s {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .1054791{col 51}{space 2} .0936989{col 62}{space 1}    1.13{col 71}{space 3}0.261{col 79}{space 4}-.0784072{col 92}{space 3} .2893655
{txt}{space 36}t {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0427537{col 51}{space 2} .0095896{col 62}{space 1}    4.46{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4} .0239339{col 92}{space 3} .0615734
{txt}{space 35}t2 {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0027609{col 51}{space 2} .0006119{col 62}{space 1}   -4.51{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4}-.0039619{col 92}{space 3}  -.00156
{txt}{space 35}t3 {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0000432{col 51}{space 2} .0000102{col 62}{space 1}    4.23{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4} .0000232{col 92}{space 3} .0000633
{txt}{space 32}_cons {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0620952{col 51}{space 2} .0647783{col 62}{space 1}    0.96{col 71}{space 3}0.338{col 79}{space 4}-.0650338{col 92}{space 3} .1892241
{txt}{hline 38}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. lvr2plot, mlabel(caseid)
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. *** Table S9: Probit: Sanctions Removal - High Residual/High Leverage Cases Dropped
. 
. * Model 1:
. probit lift fraction_reported tradechange_div c.fraction_reported#c.tradechange_div tradedep multiissue multisender s2un jointigo newsupport_s cinct_s t t2 t3 if cost_s==0 & caseid!=1959061101, robust cluster(targetstate)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-351.67213}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-324.85096}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -324.1731}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-324.17152}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-324.17152}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       901
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}13{txt}){col 67}= {res}     84.50
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-324.17152{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0782

{txt}{ralign 103:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:72} clusters in targetstate)}
{hline 38}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 39}{c |}{col 51}    Robust
{col 1}                                 lift{col 39}{c |}      Coef.{col 51}   Std. Err.{col 63}      z{col 71}   P>|z|{col 79}     [95% Con{col 92}f. Interval]
{hline 38}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}fraction_reported {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}  .919594{col 51}{space 2} .3385245{col 62}{space 1}    2.72{col 71}{space 3}0.007{col 79}{space 4} .2560982{col 92}{space 3}  1.58309
{txt}{space 22}tradechange_div {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}  .251651{col 51}{space 2} .0593959{col 62}{space 1}    4.24{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4} .1352372{col 92}{space 3} .3680648
{txt}{space 37} {c |}
c.fraction_reported#c.tradechange_div {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} -.300746{col 51}{space 2} .0698789{col 62}{space 1}   -4.30{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4}-.4377061{col 92}{space 3}-.1637858
{txt}{space 37} {c |}
{space 29}tradedep {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .1322193{col 51}{space 2}  .362173{col 62}{space 1}    0.37{col 71}{space 3}0.715{col 79}{space 4}-.5776268{col 92}{space 3} .8420654
{txt}{space 27}multiissue {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.3382587{col 51}{space 2} .1952244{col 62}{space 1}   -1.73{col 71}{space 3}0.083{col 79}{space 4}-.7208916{col 92}{space 3} .0443742
{txt}{space 26}multisender {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0176098{col 51}{space 2} .1603675{col 62}{space 1}    0.11{col 71}{space 3}0.913{col 79}{space 4}-.2967048{col 92}{space 3} .3319243
{txt}{space 33}s2un {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .4012617{col 51}{space 2} .1717245{col 62}{space 1}    2.34{col 71}{space 3}0.019{col 79}{space 4} .0646879{col 92}{space 3} .7378354
{txt}{space 29}jointigo {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0204604{col 51}{space 2} .0082723{col 62}{space 1}   -2.47{col 71}{space 3}0.013{col 79}{space 4}-.0366737{col 92}{space 3} -.004247
{txt}{space 25}newsupport_s {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.2102361{col 51}{space 2} .1925026{col 62}{space 1}   -1.09{col 71}{space 3}0.275{col 79}{space 4}-.5875343{col 92}{space 3} .1670621
{txt}{space 30}cinct_s {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .6048796{col 51}{space 2} .2993667{col 62}{space 1}    2.02{col 71}{space 3}0.043{col 79}{space 4} .0181316{col 92}{space 3} 1.191628
{txt}{space 36}t {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .4318254{col 51}{space 2} .0868366{col 62}{space 1}    4.97{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4} .2616288{col 92}{space 3} .6020221
{txt}{space 35}t2 {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0345613{col 51}{space 2} .0077259{col 62}{space 1}   -4.47{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4}-.0497039{col 92}{space 3}-.0194188
{txt}{space 35}t3 {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0006778{col 51}{space 2}  .000157{col 62}{space 1}    4.32{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4} .0003701{col 92}{space 3} .0009855
{txt}{space 32}_cons {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-1.801961{col 51}{space 2} .3511172{col 62}{space 1}   -5.13{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4}-2.490138{col 92}{space 3}-1.113783
{txt}{hline 38}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. * Model 2:
. probit lift fraction_reported tradechange_div c.fraction_reported#c.tradechange_div tradedep multiissue multisender s2un jointigo newsupport_s cinct_s t t2 t3 if cost_s==0 & caseid!=1992070203 & caseid!= 1994072901 & caseid!=2003030501 & caseid!=1959061101, robust cluster(targetstate)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-343.19029}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-316.95857}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:   -316.25}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-316.24809}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-316.24809}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       881
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}13{txt}){col 67}= {res}     76.20
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-316.24809{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0785

{txt}{ralign 103:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:72} clusters in targetstate)}
{hline 38}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 39}{c |}{col 51}    Robust
{col 1}                                 lift{col 39}{c |}      Coef.{col 51}   Std. Err.{col 63}      z{col 71}   P>|z|{col 79}     [95% Con{col 92}f. Interval]
{hline 38}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}fraction_reported {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .8915374{col 51}{space 2} .3331058{col 62}{space 1}    2.68{col 71}{space 3}0.007{col 79}{space 4}  .238662{col 92}{space 3} 1.544413
{txt}{space 22}tradechange_div {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .2100786{col 51}{space 2} .0662463{col 62}{space 1}    3.17{col 71}{space 3}0.002{col 79}{space 4} .0802382{col 92}{space 3}  .339919
{txt}{space 37} {c |}
c.fraction_reported#c.tradechange_div {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.2596733{col 51}{space 2} .0747729{col 62}{space 1}   -3.47{col 71}{space 3}0.001{col 79}{space 4}-.4062256{col 92}{space 3}-.1131211
{txt}{space 37} {c |}
{space 29}tradedep {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0147542{col 51}{space 2}  .353494{col 62}{space 1}    0.04{col 71}{space 3}0.967{col 79}{space 4}-.6780813{col 92}{space 3} .7075897
{txt}{space 27}multiissue {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.3258641{col 51}{space 2} .1941352{col 62}{space 1}   -1.68{col 71}{space 3}0.093{col 79}{space 4}-.7063621{col 92}{space 3} .0546339
{txt}{space 26}multisender {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0064348{col 51}{space 2} .1614635{col 62}{space 1}    0.04{col 71}{space 3}0.968{col 79}{space 4}-.3100279{col 92}{space 3} .3228975
{txt}{space 33}s2un {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .4344516{col 51}{space 2}  .172324{col 62}{space 1}    2.52{col 71}{space 3}0.012{col 79}{space 4} .0967027{col 92}{space 3} .7722005
{txt}{space 29}jointigo {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0182225{col 51}{space 2} .0087199{col 62}{space 1}   -2.09{col 71}{space 3}0.037{col 79}{space 4}-.0353132{col 92}{space 3}-.0011318
{txt}{space 25}newsupport_s {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.1821428{col 51}{space 2} .1915163{col 62}{space 1}   -0.95{col 71}{space 3}0.342{col 79}{space 4}-.5575078{col 92}{space 3} .1932222
{txt}{space 30}cinct_s {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .5751299{col 51}{space 2} .3874755{col 62}{space 1}    1.48{col 71}{space 3}0.138{col 79}{space 4}-.1843082{col 92}{space 3} 1.334568
{txt}{space 36}t {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .4354787{col 51}{space 2} .0874709{col 62}{space 1}    4.98{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4} .2640389{col 92}{space 3} .6069184
{txt}{space 35}t2 {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0347999{col 51}{space 2} .0078118{col 62}{space 1}   -4.45{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4}-.0501109{col 92}{space 3} -.019489
{txt}{space 35}t3 {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0006809{col 51}{space 2}  .000159{col 62}{space 1}    4.28{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4} .0003693{col 92}{space 3} .0009926
{txt}{space 32}_cons {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-1.835184{col 51}{space 2} .3525347{col 62}{space 1}   -5.21{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4} -2.52614{col 92}{space 3}-1.144229
{txt}{hline 38}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *** Table S10: Cox Proportional Hazard Regression: Duration until Sanctions End
. 
. stset, clear
{txt}
{com}. stset t, failure(lift) id(caseid)

                {txt}id:  {res}caseid
     {txt}failure event:  {res}lift != 0 & lift < .
{txt}obs. time interval:  {res}(t[_n-1], t]
{txt} exit on or before:  {res}failure

{txt}{hline 78}
{res}      1,849{txt}  total observations
{res}          0{txt}  exclusions
{hline 78}
{res}      1,849{txt}  observations remaining, representing
{res}        308{txt}  subjects
{res}        256{txt}  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
{res}      1,849{txt}  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t = {res}        0
                                     {txt}earliest observed entry t = {res}        0
                                          {txt}last observed exit t = {res}       56
{txt}
{com}. 
. *Cox Model 1
. stcox fraction_reported tradechange_div c.fraction_reported#c.tradechange_div tradedep multiissue multisender s2un jointigo cinct_s newsupport_s, vce(cluster targetstate) nohr

         {txt}failure _d:  {res}lift
   {txt}analysis time _t:  {res}t
                 {txt}id:  {res}caseid

{txt}Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-545.20734
{txt}Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-537.72932
{txt}Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-537.52646
{txt}Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-537.52631
{txt}Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-537.52631

{txt}Cox regression -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      = {res}         208             {txt}Number of obs    =  {res}     1,043
{txt}No. of failures      = {res}         126
{txt}Time at risk         = {res}        1043
                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}10{txt})    =  {res}     19.75
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood =   {res}-537.52631             {txt}Prob > chi2      =  {res}    0.0317

{txt}{ralign 103:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:78} clusters in targetstate)}
{hline 38}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 39}{c |}{col 51}    Robust
{col 1}                                   _t{col 39}{c |}      Coef.{col 51}   Std. Err.{col 63}      z{col 71}   P>|z|{col 79}     [95% Con{col 92}f. Interval]
{hline 38}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}fraction_reported {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} 1.007003{col 51}{space 2} .4624732{col 62}{space 1}    2.18{col 71}{space 3}0.029{col 79}{space 4} .1005724{col 92}{space 3} 1.913434
{txt}{space 22}tradechange_div {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}  .284781{col 51}{space 2} .0818227{col 62}{space 1}    3.48{col 71}{space 3}0.001{col 79}{space 4} .1244115{col 92}{space 3} .4451504
{txt}{space 37} {c |}
c.fraction_reported#c.tradechange_div {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.3412598{col 51}{space 2} .0994348{col 62}{space 1}   -3.43{col 71}{space 3}0.001{col 79}{space 4}-.5361485{col 92}{space 3}-.1463712
{txt}{space 37} {c |}
{space 29}tradedep {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}  .071714{col 51}{space 2} .5069989{col 62}{space 1}    0.14{col 71}{space 3}0.888{col 79}{space 4}-.9219855{col 92}{space 3} 1.065414
{txt}{space 27}multiissue {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} -.485345{col 51}{space 2} .2631797{col 62}{space 1}   -1.84{col 71}{space 3}0.065{col 79}{space 4}-1.001168{col 92}{space 3} .0304777
{txt}{space 26}multisender {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.1140125{col 51}{space 2} .2446474{col 62}{space 1}   -0.47{col 71}{space 3}0.641{col 79}{space 4}-.5935125{col 92}{space 3} .3654875
{txt}{space 33}s2un {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .1807534{col 51}{space 2} .2412077{col 62}{space 1}    0.75{col 71}{space 3}0.454{col 79}{space 4} -.292005{col 92}{space 3} .6535117
{txt}{space 29}jointigo {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0205153{col 51}{space 2} .0119705{col 62}{space 1}   -1.71{col 71}{space 3}0.087{col 79}{space 4}-.0439771{col 92}{space 3} .0029464
{txt}{space 30}cinct_s {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .6308152{col 51}{space 2} .4543171{col 62}{space 1}    1.39{col 71}{space 3}0.165{col 79}{space 4}-.2596299{col 92}{space 3}  1.52126
{txt}{space 25}newsupport_s {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.2211332{col 51}{space 2} .2570981{col 62}{space 1}   -0.86{col 71}{space 3}0.390{col 79}{space 4}-.7250362{col 92}{space 3} .2827699
{txt}{hline 38}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *Cox Model 2
. stcox fraction_reported tradechange_div c.fraction_reported#c.tradechange_div tradedep multiissue multisender s2un jointigo cinct_s newsupport_s if cost_s==0, vce(cluster targetstate) nohr

         {txt}failure _d:  {res}lift
   {txt}analysis time _t:  {res}t
                 {txt}id:  {res}caseid

{txt}Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-505.31268
{txt}Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-491.41163
{txt}Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-490.82611
{txt}Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-490.82378
{txt}Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-490.82378
{txt}Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-490.82378

{txt}Cox regression -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      = {res}         197             {txt}Number of obs    =  {res}       970
{txt}No. of failures      = {res}         119
{txt}Time at risk         = {res}         970
                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}10{txt})    =  {res}     59.99
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood =   {res}-490.82378             {txt}Prob > chi2      =  {res}    0.0000

{txt}{ralign 103:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:78} clusters in targetstate)}
{hline 38}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 39}{c |}{col 51}    Robust
{col 1}                                   _t{col 39}{c |}      Coef.{col 51}   Std. Err.{col 63}      z{col 71}   P>|z|{col 79}     [95% Con{col 92}f. Interval]
{hline 38}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}fraction_reported {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} 1.583303{col 51}{space 2} .5103845{col 62}{space 1}    3.10{col 71}{space 3}0.002{col 79}{space 4} .5829673{col 92}{space 3} 2.583638
{txt}{space 22}tradechange_div {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .4199806{col 51}{space 2} .0881173{col 62}{space 1}    4.77{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4} .2472738{col 92}{space 3} .5926873
{txt}{space 37} {c |}
c.fraction_reported#c.tradechange_div {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.5062173{col 51}{space 2} .1048714{col 62}{space 1}   -4.83{col 71}{space 3}0.000{col 79}{space 4}-.7117616{col 92}{space 3}-.3006731
{txt}{space 37} {c |}
{space 29}tradedep {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .1017036{col 51}{space 2} .5875659{col 62}{space 1}    0.17{col 71}{space 3}0.863{col 79}{space 4}-1.049904{col 92}{space 3} 1.253312
{txt}{space 27}multiissue {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.6255793{col 51}{space 2}  .284122{col 62}{space 1}   -2.20{col 71}{space 3}0.028{col 79}{space 4}-1.182448{col 92}{space 3}-.0687105
{txt}{space 26}multisender {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} .0001875{col 51}{space 2} .2480624{col 62}{space 1}    0.00{col 71}{space 3}0.999{col 79}{space 4}-.4860057{col 92}{space 3} .4863808
{txt}{space 33}s2un {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}  .655212{col 51}{space 2} .2367101{col 62}{space 1}    2.77{col 71}{space 3}0.006{col 79}{space 4} .1912686{col 92}{space 3} 1.119155
{txt}{space 29}jointigo {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}-.0328227{col 51}{space 2} .0124555{col 62}{space 1}   -2.64{col 71}{space 3}0.008{col 79}{space 4}-.0572351{col 92}{space 3}-.0084104
{txt}{space 30}cinct_s {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2} 1.021987{col 51}{space 2} .4586473{col 62}{space 1}    2.23{col 71}{space 3}0.026{col 79}{space 4} .1230551{col 92}{space 3}  1.92092
{txt}{space 25}newsupport_s {c |}{col 39}{res}{space 2}  -.38163{col 51}{space 2}  .268915{col 62}{space 1}   -1.42{col 71}{space 3}0.156{col 79}{space 4}-.9086937{col 92}{space 3} .1454337
{txt}{hline 38}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *** Figure S3: Effect of Change in T's Trade and Information on the Duration of Sanctions
. stcurve, survival at1(fraction_reported=0.9 tradechange_div=-10) at2(fraction_reported=0.9 tradechange_div=10) at3(fraction_reported=0.9 tradechange_div=30) at4(fraction_reported=0.9 tradechange_div=50) range(0 10)
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{com}. 
. stcurve, survival at1(fraction_reported=0.25 tradechange_div=-5) at2(fraction_reported=0.5 tradechange_div=-5) at3(fraction_reported=0.75 tradechange_div=-5) at4(fraction_reported=1 tradechange_div=-5)range(0 10)
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{com}. 
. 
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